基于系统动力学模型的工业生长指数参数化模拟研究Parameterized Simulation of Industrial Growth Index Using a System Dynamics Model
徐健;
摘要(Abstract):
对我国工业环境及景观生态进行了问卷调查和景观元素构成比例研究.基于研究结果建立并验证了具有多维度非线性景观指数动态预测功能的工业生长—景观生态城市系统动力学模型.并将模型的量化关系通过编程输入软件Grasshopper得到城市的参数化工业生长指数曲面,由此提出基于景观生态学的哈尔滨工业规划建议.实现了工业生长和景观生态之间,从定性到定量,从定量到可视化模拟的转变.
关键词(KeyWords): 工业生长;景观生态;系统动力学模型;参数化模拟
基金项目(Foundation): 广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划智库课题(2017GZZK43);; 广东省普通高校特色创新类项目;; 2017年度华南理工大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目;; 广东省哲学社会科学“十三五”规划学科共建项目(GD17XTQ02);; 广东省博士启动基金
作者(Authors): 徐健;
DOI: 10.16778/j.cnki.1671-5934.2018.03.015
参考文献(References):
- [1]WEBER A.über den standort der industrien[M].JCB Mohr,1909.
- [2]L?SCH A,WOGLOM W H,STOLPER W F.The economics of location[M].Vol.1940,Yale University Press New Haven,1954.
- [3]FUJITA M,KRUGMANP R,VENABLESA J.The spatial economy:cities,regions and international trade[M].Vol.213:Wiley Online Library,1999.
- [4]TORRENS P M,O'SULLIVAN D.Cellular automata and urban simulation:where do we go from here[J].Environment and Planning B:Planning and Design,2001,28(2):163-168.
- [5]XU J,KANG J,SHAO L.Subjective evaluation of the environmental quality in China’s industrial corridors[J].Journal of Environmental Engineering and Landscape Management.2015.Under review.
- [6]WRIGLEY E A.Industrial growth and population change[M].Cambridge University Press,2011.
- [7]PARGAL S,WHEELERD.Informal regulation of industrial pollution in developing countries:evidence from indonesia[M].Vol.1416.World Bank Publications,1995.
- [8]刘丹丹.2008年哈尔滨市工业经济形势分析[J].学理论,2008(10):34-37.
- [9]PETERSON D W,EBERLEIN R L.Reality check:a bridge between systems thinking and system dynamics[J].System Dynamics Review,1994,10(2-3):159-174.
- [10]FORD D N,STERMANJD.Dynamic modeling of product development processes[J].System Dynamics Review,1998,14(1):31-68.
- [11]XU J,KANG J,SHAO L,ZHAO T Y.System dynamic modelling of industrial growth and landscape ecology in China[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2014,Under review.
- [12]XU J,KANG J,SHAO L.Comparison of the ecological risk of different city distribution patterns based on system dynamics[J].Journal of Urban Planning and Development,2014,Under review.
- [13]PIKER D.Kangaroo-Live 3-D Physics for Rhino/Grasshopper[R].computer software,2011.
- [14]哈尔滨城乡规划局网站[EB/OL].[2018-02-04].http://upp.com.cn/view/csztgh/article/301525.html,accesson 2015April 14.